Saturday, October 27, 2018

The Great Singapore Sale Stock Market Is Here Again

Every two to three years, we seemed to have a variety of the Great Singapore Sale in the stock market that are back and enticing investor's appetite to invest into the market.

With the STI index now down close to 20% from the recent peak, it appears to have given the cash investors another test to check their perseverance in whether they would succumb their hard cold cash into the market at this point. After all, what the cash investors are aiming are the huge once in a lifetime opportunities and not this sort of minor correction every two or three years.

That's what holding cash are for in the first place I assume.



Fortunately (or unfortunately), this is out of my bound as my allocation are mostly filled close to 100% of the time.

This is where folks are tinkering with ideas and excitement that I generally don't.

However, if you ask me, the best time to invest is where there are full of uncertainties surrounding the economy itself.

With the trade war unresolved, weak earnings guidance or the upcoming mid-term election, these are my "safe-haven" opportunities to invest. It is not when the market is doing all well that I started to put my money in.

With a long term horizon perpetually, it is difficult to see how investors would lose money if they invest in good quality companies. The only problem is if they buy it high enough with little margin of safety. Even so, time will reduce the average costs over time.

The best time to invest in any given market is now. 

You just need to keep adding on through your dividends quarterly when you receive them.

But there'll be lots of noises around when the market will bottom out from here.

It feels like a dejavu over again.

Thanks for reading.

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25 comments:

  1. Hi B,

    Now only 20% off! Buy a little. Heard from Mr Market they will have some 50% clearance sales once in a blue-moon! Haha!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Sleepydevil

      The frequency of a 50% drop is much more infrequent and generally its a poor move to be waiting for such big events to take place, plus you gotta be the best timer to get in at the bottom.

      I think too hard for me :)

      Delete
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  2. Yes, it is the Great Singapore Sale & International Sale as well. Have marked out the targets (one of them a local titan) and some international stocks with up to 10% dividend yields as well. Not time yet according to my stats and calculations but soon :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Anon

      Wow Im interested which international stocks you are eyeing that gives 10% yield :)

      Delete
    2. Hi, thanks for the reply. They come from the UK, Australia and US. High yields come at a price i.e. more risk. Some of them face problems in their respective industries and the yields may not be sustainable but we can view them as turnaround plays if they turned out good in the end. From your blog posts, you have certainly grow & evolved over time. I guess you will have your resources & smarts to fish them out now that I have planted the seeds ;) or else, I can start a blog of my own if my thesis is correct in the end :)

      Delete
  3. 20% is nothing. Go in now and by the time Great Singapore Depression Sale comes, you realised you've been wiped out!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Rafalution

      Wiped out but comes back stronger is better than missing the whole action altogether :)

      Delete
  4. The irony is when everyone expects a crash or correction and hoarding cash, the markets would just not crash. And even if it does, human tendency is to try to pick bottom and when that bottom comes, it will go very fast and most would have missed it or enter the market only to be caught long as they are too late. This has been my observation of the general populace over the last 20 years. Of course there are some who are skilled or lucky enough to have caught the bottom...but those remain a minority.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Anon

      Agreed and it is very difficult to time the market. Those who did just probably get in a few allocations and thats about it. For most of the time they are dragged by their return for their cash which they hardly realized.

      Delete
  5. Did you sell M1 to buy other stocks on sale now?

    ReplyDelete
  6. I bought some during this sell down
    But not much

    ReplyDelete
  7. set % allocation to buy at different index levels
    e.g.
    10% of war chest when market 20% down
    20% of war chest when market 30% down
    30% of war chest when market 40% down
    40% of war chest when market 50% down
    after that, invest dividends if market going further down

    ReplyDelete
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