FCT has finally announced a proposal to acquire Changi City
Point at $305 Million to inject the abovementioned asset into their existing sub-urban
malls portfolio.
I’ve got a feeling that investors have been waiting for this
acquisition for some time now, given the recent lacklustre organic growth
opportunities especially on their performance for YewTee and Bedok Point in the
recent months.
My take on Changi
City Point
For those who have not been to Changi City Point, they are a
sub-urban malls located in the heart of Changi Business Park and is close
proximity to the residential estates of Simei, Bedok, Expo and Tampines area.
Strategically, they are well placed on the heart of the more congested sub-urban
areas, so crowd will not be an issue. More details on Changi City Point is as follows:
Gross Floor Area (sq ft)
|
306,375
|
Net Lettable Area (sq ft)
|
207,237
|
No. of Committed Leases
|
134
|
Breakdown by Types
|
Percentage (%)
|
F&B
|
39.0
|
Retail
|
50.0
|
Service
|
8.8
|
Committed Occupancy Rate as of 28.02.2014
|
97.8%
|
The one thing I wanted to highlight if you have not been to
Changi City Point is that I always feel their malls are too concentrated with
F&B. As you can see the breakdown from the above table, F&B alone makes
up 39% of the entire leased area. Comparing this to other FCT malls like
Causeway Point and Northpoint, their F&B only makes up 23.5% and 28% of the
entire netted lease respectively. That is not to say it is bad for Changi City
Point to have such a large concentrated F&B as part of their committed lease,
but the higher gross rental they can derive from these and you can probably
understand why they do so.
Based on the table below for the other 2 FCT malls, we can
see that F&B, Fashion and Beauty are consistently the main income generator
while Department Store, Education and Supermarket are consistently the main
income destroyer for FCT. Having said that, we cannot have a mall that is full
concentrated only on the main income generator as it will defeat the purpose of
having a diversified mall. A right mix of tenants is desired. I just wonder with the high F&B concentration
for Changi City Point will have an impact on competition and a drop-out from
these high numbers in the future that will impact DPU.
Causeway Point
|
|||
Top 5 Leased by
Trade Mix
|
%
|
Top 5 Gross Income
by Trade Mix
|
%
|
F&B
|
23.5
|
F&B
|
28.8
|
Fashion
|
18.0
|
Fashion
|
25.7
|
Department Store
|
14.4
|
Household
|
10.6
|
Household
|
12.0
|
Department Store
|
6.6
|
Leisure/Entertainment
|
9.2
|
Beauty
|
6.5
|
NorthPoint
|
|||
Top 5 Leased by
Trade Mix
|
%
|
Top 5 Gross Income
by Trade Mix
|
%
|
F&B
|
28.0
|
F&B
|
31.7
|
Service/Education
|
17.1
|
Fashion
|
27.7
|
Fashion
|
16.3
|
Service/Education
|
12.2
|
Supermarket
|
8.7
|
Beauty
|
7.2
|
Books/Music
|
7.0
|
Healthcare
|
5.0
|
My take on the
acquisition
Management have indicated that the acquisition will be
yield-accretive for investors.
As part of the equation to finance the acquisition,
management have decided to go with the private placement instead of issuing
rights issue which supposedly can benefit the larger minority crowds.
Given that the acquisition will most likely be funded by
half equity half debt, we probably will see gearing rising up to around 35%
(739/2135) which is still prudent in management’s view.
While I most probably cannot participate in the private
placement exercise, I hope they do not set its price too low to institutional
investors as it will affect the market sentiments of the stock price which
currently sits at $1.78.
Given FCT management track record of maximizing shareholder’s
value in the past years, I have no doubt that they are well on track to achieve
another round of high record DPU for the company as well as the shareholders.
Vested with 30 lots of
FCT as of writing.
Hi B, there are many offices there so I guess F&B can attract lunch crowd? As well as people who go for expo. Personally I would eat at changi city point before going to expo as expo does not have much food choices. Just my tots. But I am not vested though. :)
ReplyDeleteHi Melting Starz
DeleteLike you said, you only go there for the food. What about the overall retail experience? If the mall is highly concentrated only on the F&B, then overtime it may lose the conscious quality of the malls it can bring out. As a shopper, I would rather see much diverse activities inside the malls. Dining is just a part of the experience :)
Hi B,
ReplyDeleteI dont think the high concentration in F&B will be a problem. Changi City point is located very near to the business district park and lots of office there. The nearest shopping mall will be there and lunch crowd will always be there. I been there on weekday lunch hour, most f&b outlet are quite packed. Weekends are a little quieter.
Hi Little Boy
DeleteThe concentration in F&B is not a problem at first glance but they are generally crowded only during the lunch or dinner hours on weekdays and weekends. If you are going there as a shopper, then you would want a wider shopping experience that will include movies, plays or other activities.
The high concentration in the F&B can also create a higher competition amongst the retail. So I'm not sure if they can sustain that over longer periods of time.
Good move by FCT. Hey, the mall has many outlets and boost two foodcourts!
ReplyDeleteNot vested. Look forward to more fantastic updates from you.
Lets build our wealth with SGX stocks!
Regards,
SG Wealth Builder
www.sgwealthbuilder.com
Hi Gerald
DeleteI guess that's the only way for FCT to grow now that their organic growth via AEI is limited. But that comes in timely as well with renewals from CCP coming up.
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